Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 7.010427e-05 0.000085 0.000100 0.000118 0.000138 0.000160 0.000185
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.387887e-05 0.000073 0.000095 0.000121 0.000152 0.000187 0.000229
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.304201e-05 0.000064 0.000088 0.000120 0.000158 0.000202 0.000255
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.336131e-05 0.000054 0.000081 0.000117 0.000161 0.000213 0.000279
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.674704e-05 0.000048 0.000076 0.000114 0.000163 0.000223 0.000298
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.171941e-05 0.000043 0.000072 0.000113 0.000168 0.000235 0.000322
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.852528e-05 0.000039 0.000070 0.000115 0.000174 0.000249 0.000347
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.502537e-05 0.000035 0.000066 0.000113 0.000178 0.000259 0.000367
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.152561e-05 0.000030 0.000061 0.000109 0.000176 0.000263 0.000379
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.671686e-06 0.000028 0.000060 0.000110 0.000182 0.000276 0.000403
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.028779e-06 0.000024 0.000054 0.000104 0.000178 0.000276 0.000410
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.917919e-06 0.000022 0.000053 0.000106 0.000184 0.000289 0.000434
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.034610e-06 0.000019 0.000049 0.000102 0.000183 0.000295 0.000450
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.165835e-06 0.000017 0.000048 0.000104 0.000191 0.000312 0.000482
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.249894e-06 0.000015 0.000046 0.000103 0.000194 0.000322 0.000505
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.382386e-06 0.000013 0.000042 0.000100 0.000194 0.000328 0.000521
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.449812e-07 0.000011 0.000039 0.000098 0.000195 0.000335 0.000539
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.009892e-07 0.000009 0.000037 0.000097 0.000198 0.000345 0.000561
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.265225e-07 0.000009 0.000037 0.000098 0.000204 0.000360 0.000590
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.565416e-07 0.000007 0.000035 0.000097 0.000206 0.000368 0.000610
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.236135e-08 0.000006 0.000032 0.000093 0.000203 0.000371 0.000621
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.342077e-08 0.000005 0.000031 0.000094 0.000208 0.000383 0.000647
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.011501e-11 0.000004 0.000027 0.000089 0.000204 0.000382 0.000653